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Investigation · The 70,000 call seller

$5.2M in, $68.4M out, and the seller is back in the game until 30 October

In August someone sold 4,709 bitcoin calls at the 70,000 strike and took in $5.2M. Bitcoin was near 63,000 at the time.

On 25 September those same calls had to be bought back for $68.4M: bitcoin had risen 33% in between.

But the position wasn't closed. The same $139M block, the largest in 100 days of our archive, sold 4,709 October calls for $71M. The bet runs until 30 October.

Deribit · optionsopenupdated 25.09.20264 min
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The call sellerDeribit · trade side from the exchange tag, identity unknown

Sold 4,709 September 70,000 calls in two blocks, on 31 July and 3 August. On 25 September bought them back in one block and sold the same number for October.

$5.2Mtaken in for the calls on 31.07 and 03.08, bitcoin near 63,000
→
$68.4Mpaid to buy them back on 25.09, bitcoin 84,615
I

The record block

The call seller$139Mone block, ten times bigger than any other in our archive since 11 June

At midnight one two-leg trade went through on Deribit. It bought 4,709 bitcoin calls at the 70,000 strike that expired that same morning, 25 September. It sold 4,709 identical calls for 30 October.

Bitcoin was at 84,615, so both calls sat deep in the money, each worth more than $14,500. Together the trade moved $139M. The previous single-block record in our archive is $14M.

Open interest on the October 70,000 strike rose from 1,060 to 5,767 contracts in a day. So the October position is new, while the 4,709 September calls had belonged to someone since the summer.

II

Where the 4,709 came from

The call seller4,709calls sold in two blocks at 0.0175 BTC

On the evening of 31 July someone sold 2,000 September 70,000 calls in a single block. On 3 August, 2,709 more. Exactly 4,709 in total, the same number bought back on 25 September.

Bitcoin was near 63,000 then, with the strike 11% higher. The seller took 0.0175 BTC per call, $5.2M in all.

Open interest on this strike rose from 2,124 to 6,081 contracts over those days. So these were new sales, not closing trades. By expiry week the 70,000 strike was the largest line in the whole September bitcoin expiry.

Where the 4,709 calls came from: open interest on the 70,000 strikeupdated 25.09.2026
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Bars: open interest in BTC-25SEP26-70000-C from daily Deribit snapshots, contracts. Dashed: the same strike for October. Blue line: bitcoin price.

III

33% the wrong way

The call seller$68.4Mcost to buy back on 25 September, against $5.2M taken in

On 19 August bitcoin crossed 70,000, and the sold call started costing the seller real money. On 23 September, at 86,600, buying back the 4,709 calls would have cost $78.6M.

On 25 September, eight hours before settlement, the buyback came to $68.4M. On the options alone that is $63.2M more than the $5.2M taken in.

So in the 53 days after the second sale bitcoin didn't just pass the strike, it climbed 21% above it.

What buying back the 4,709 calls would have cost, day by dayupdated 25.09.2026
drag to zoom · double-click to reset

Line: 4,709 × September call mark × bitcoin price, $M. Dashed: taken in at the August sale.

IV

Not closed, rolled

The call seller$71Mtaken in for 4,709 October 70,000 calls

In the same trade the seller sold 4,709 calls at 70,000 for 30 October and took in $71M. That is $2.6M more than the September buyback cost.

So the position didn't close, it moved 35 days forward. Same strike, same size, new date.

At 08:00 UTC the September calls settled at 83,931. By then the position was already living in October.

V

What the new position bets on

The call seller85,100breakeven of the October calls for the seller

The seller took in about $15,100 per October call. If bitcoin is below 85,100 on 30 October, the options leave the seller ahead.

Every $1,000 higher costs the position about $4.4M: the October calls have a delta of 0.93 and there are 4,709 of them.

Bitcoin is near 84,600 now, just under that line. So on the options alone the new position bets that September's rally doesn't carry on into October.

VI

Someone bets the other way

The call seller91,700what bitcoin needs for the October 90,000 calls to pay off

On the evening of 24 September another trader, in four blocks, sold 2,000 September 80,000 calls for $8.8M and bought 4,000 October 90,000 calls for $6.9M.

That October position only pays off above 91,700. The 70,000 call seller's position only earns below 85,100.

So on 30 October they can't both get paid. These are the two biggest new positions in October's bitcoin expiry over the day from 24 to 25 September.

Both positions settle on 30 October. If bitcoin ends between 85,100 and 91,700, neither pays. We're tracking both every day: open interest on the October 70,000 and 90,000 strikes and every new block on them. When either position moves, or on settlement day, the follow-up goes here.

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Evidence and limits

Trades: Deribit hourly archive since 11 June 2026 with block number and aggressor side. Blocks BLOCK-282154 (31.07), BLOCK-282235 (03.08), BLOCK-289214 (25.09) and four blocks on 24.09 from 15:39 to 15:45 UTC.

Exchange cross-check: archive volume for BTC-25SEP26-70000-C in the 24-hour windows of 4 August (760.3) and 25 September (5,837.8) matches the Deribit chain snapshot to a tenth.

Exact ledger: sold 2,000 + 2,709 = 4,709 at 0.0175 BTC ($2.20M + $3.03M); bought back 4,709 at 0.1717 BTC ($68.41M); sold 4,709 October at 0.1782 BTC ($71.00M). Open interest on the October 70,000 strike rose from 1,060 to 5,767.

Limits: we can't see whether the seller holds bitcoin spot. If they do, this is a covered call rather than a bet against the rally, and the $63.2M options gap was covered by the coin's own rise.

That the 25 September buyer is the same seller as in August isn't proven: the matching 4,709 size and the trade built as a date roll point that way, but the exchange doesn't reveal identities.

Breakeven and delta are for the options leg only, before fees, at Deribit's mark on 25 September.

A decision journal, not investment advice. Reconstructed from public exchange records.

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