{
 "name": "INDICIA DESK Max Pain Expiry Ledger (BTC, ETH)",
 "url": "https://indiciadesk.com/en/max-pain-dataset",
 "license": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/",
 "credit": "INDICIA DESK (indiciadesk.com)",
 "as_of_utc": "2026-10-27 09:32",
 "rows_total": 470,
 "summary_basis": "rows with t1_snapshot = ok",
 "fields": [
  {
   "name": "asset",
   "type": "string",
   "description": "BTC or ETH"
  },
  {
   "name": "expiry_code",
   "type": "string",
   "description": "Deribit expiry code, e.g. 27OCT26"
  },
  {
   "name": "settlement_date",
   "type": "date",
   "description": "Settlement day (Deribit settles at 08:00 UTC)"
  },
  {
   "name": "expiry_type",
   "type": "string",
   "description": "daily, weekly (Friday), monthly (last Friday) or quarterly (last Friday of Mar/Jun/Sep/Dec)"
  },
  {
   "name": "max_pain_deribit_usd",
   "type": "number",
   "description": "Deribit max pain frozen from the open-interest snapshot about 24h before settlement"
  },
  {
   "name": "max_pain_bybit_usd",
   "type": "number",
   "description": "Bybit max pain frozen before settlement; empty where we had no Bybit snapshot (our Bybit capture starts in August 2026)"
  },
  {
   "name": "settlement_price_usd",
   "type": "number",
   "description": "Official Deribit delivery price"
  },
  {
   "name": "settlement_source",
   "type": "string",
   "description": "official = Deribit delivery price; proxy = 08:00 UTC spot"
  },
  {
   "name": "deviation_pct",
   "type": "number",
   "description": "(settlement - max pain) / settlement x 100"
  },
  {
   "name": "max_pain_verdict",
   "type": "string",
   "description": "exact: |deviation| < 1%; near: 1-3% and the gap to max pain shrank from T-1 to settlement; miss: everything else"
  },
  {
   "name": "mm_range_low_usd",
   "type": "number",
   "description": "Lower bound of the market-maker breakeven range at T-1"
  },
  {
   "name": "mm_range_high_usd",
   "type": "number",
   "description": "Upper bound of the market-maker breakeven range at T-1"
  },
  {
   "name": "mm_range_held",
   "type": "boolean",
   "description": "true if settlement closed inside the range frozen at T-1"
  },
  {
   "name": "call_wall_result",
   "type": "string",
   "description": "Largest call strike by OI at T-1: untested / held (touched within 0.5% or crossed intraday, settled inside) / broken (settled beyond)"
  },
  {
   "name": "put_wall_result",
   "type": "string",
   "description": "Same test for the largest put strike by OI"
  },
  {
   "name": "high_significance",
   "type": "boolean",
   "description": "Fixed before the run: notional in the top 25% for its asset and type, or one wall holding 20%+ of total OI"
  },
  {
   "name": "t1_snapshot",
   "type": "string",
   "description": "ok = T-1 snapshot within 2h of settlement minus 24h; proxy = further off, excluded from the summary rates"
  }
 ],
 "rows": [
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "7MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-07",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 69500.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 67774.34,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": -2.546,
   "max_pain_verdict": "near",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 67500.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 71500.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": true,
   "t1_snapshot": "proxy"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "7MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-07",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2025.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 1978.38,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": -2.356,
   "max_pain_verdict": "near",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 1950.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2125.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "broken",
   "high_significance": true,
   "t1_snapshot": "proxy"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "8MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-08",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 69000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 67314.49,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": -2.504,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 67000.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 71000.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "held",
   "high_significance": true,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "8MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-08",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 1954.5,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": -2.328,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 1950.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2100.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "held",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "9MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-09",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 69000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 67407.5,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": -2.362,
   "max_pain_verdict": "near",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 66000.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 73500.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "held",
   "high_significance": true,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "9MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-09",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 1980.71,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": -0.974,
   "max_pain_verdict": "exact",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 1875.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2100.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "held",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "10MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-10",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 68000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 70361.56,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 3.356,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 65000.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 70500.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "10MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-10",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 1975.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 2051.11,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 3.711,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 1875.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2075.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "11MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-11",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 68000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 69650.37,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 2.37,
   "max_pain_verdict": "near",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 63000.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 72000.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": true,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "11MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-11",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 2013.87,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 0.689,
   "max_pain_verdict": "exact",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 1875.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2100.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "held",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "12MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-12",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 69500.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 69746.28,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 0.353,
   "max_pain_verdict": "exact",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 67000.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 71500.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "12MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-12",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2025.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 2038.23,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 0.649,
   "max_pain_verdict": "exact",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 1925.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2100.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "13MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-13",
   "expiry_type": "weekly",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 69000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 71556.31,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 3.572,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 66000.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 71500.0,
   "mm_range_held": false,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "13MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-13",
   "expiry_type": "weekly",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 2098.48,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 4.693,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 1900.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2100.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "broken",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": true,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "14MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-14",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 70000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 70595.37,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 0.843,
   "max_pain_verdict": "exact",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 68000.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 73000.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "held",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "14MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-14",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2050.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 2078.62,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 1.377,
   "max_pain_verdict": "near",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 1950.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2150.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "held",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "15MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-15",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 71500.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 71479.48,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": -0.029,
   "max_pain_verdict": "exact",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 69500.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 73000.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": true,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "15MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-15",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2100.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 2106.05,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 0.287,
   "max_pain_verdict": "exact",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 2025.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2175.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "16MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-16",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 72000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 73563.28,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 2.125,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 70500.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 76000.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "held",
   "high_significance": true,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "16MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-16",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2100.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 2254.59,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 6.857,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 2025.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2200.0,
   "mm_range_held": false,
   "call_wall_result": "broken",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": true,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "17MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-17",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 72000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 74329.85,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 3.134,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 70000.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 75000.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "17MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-17",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2175.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 2330.03,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 6.654,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 2075.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2300.0,
   "mm_range_held": false,
   "call_wall_result": "broken",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "18MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-18",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 73000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 73820.38,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 1.111,
   "max_pain_verdict": "near",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 70500.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 76000.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "18MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-18",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2275.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 2316.6,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 1.796,
   "max_pain_verdict": "near",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 2150.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2400.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "19MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-19",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 74000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 70101.59,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": -5.561,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 71500.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 76000.0,
   "mm_range_held": false,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "19MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-19",
   "expiry_type": "daily",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2300.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 2166.8,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": -6.147,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 2175.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2400.0,
   "mm_range_held": false,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "broken",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "BTC",
   "expiry_code": "20MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-20",
   "expiry_type": "weekly",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 70000.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 70763.08,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": 1.078,
   "max_pain_verdict": "miss",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 67000.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 73000.0,
   "mm_range_held": true,
   "call_wall_result": "untested",
   "put_wall_result": "untested",
   "high_significance": false,
   "t1_snapshot": "ok"
  },
  {
   "asset": "ETH",
   "expiry_code": "20MAR26",
   "settlement_date": "2026-03-20",
   "expiry_type": "weekly",
   "max_pain_deribit_usd": 2150.0,
   "max_pain_bybit_usd": null,
   "settlement_price_usd": 2148.7,
   "settlement_source": "official",
   "deviation_pct": -0.061,
   "max_pain_verdict": "exact",
   "mm_range_low_usd": 2000.0,
   "mm_range_high_usd": 2225.0,
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 ]
}